Atl 88 (2 games in hand)
Barca 85 (2 games in hand)
Real 83 (3 games in hand)
The Most Atleti can finish with is 94 pts....which means they will wil
The Most Real can get is 92
The Most Barca can finish with is 91
Scenarios:
Since Atl plays Barcelona, it's possible that they can draw and win the next and they will finish level with Real if they win all three up coming games. Both will have 92 and it will go down to goal difference/head to head. Real have the second best GD so they will probably win on 92
So at minimum Atleti can win one and draw one to be assured of their place, provided that they have a greater GD.
Barca needs to win their next two and hope that BOTH clubs lost at least one game (realistic)
Real can't afford to lose any games unless everybody loses as well....and even then they can only lose one game.
dru's prediction:
I think points will definitely be dropped in the Barca-Atleti game. How much is anyone's guess. Either way it will work in Madrid's favour. Madrid only have to play and beat the teams in front of them.
I think Barca can easily win their next two games... meaning I think Atleti will finish with 91 points as well as Barcelona, which means that if Carlo doesn't fuck up royally, as he's known to, Real Madrid will win the title...by ONE point